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	<title>Paleofuture &#187; War</title>
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	<description>A history of the future that never was</description>
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		<title>Nikola Tesla&#8217;s Amazing Predictions for the 21st Century</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2013/04/nikola-teslas-amazing-predictions-for-the-21st-century/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2013/04/nikola-teslas-amazing-predictions-for-the-21st-century/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Apr 2013 14:37:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health and Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newspapers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nikola Tesla]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1930s]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=5855</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The famed inventor believed "the solution of our problems does not lie in destroying but in mastering the machine"]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-9080" title="1935 feb 9 liberty mag tesla 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/04/1935-feb-9-liberty-mag-tesla-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_9076" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 222px"><img class="size-medium wp-image-9076" title="1935 feb 9 liberty magazine tesla sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/04/1935-feb-9-liberty-magazine-tesla-sm-222x300.jpeg" alt="" width="222" height="300" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Photo of Nikola Tesla which appeared in the February 9, 1935 issue of Liberty magazine</p></div>
<p>In the 1930s journalists from publications like the <a href="http://select.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=F60E12F73958177A93C2A8178CD85F408385F9"><em>New York Times</em></a> and <a href="http://www.time.com/time/covers/0,16641,19310720,00.html"><em>Time</em></a> magazine would regularly visit Nikola Tesla at his home on the 20th floor of the Hotel Governor Clinton in Manhattan. There the elderly Tesla would regale them with stories of his early days as an inventor and often opined about what was in store for the future.</p>
<p>Last year we looked at <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/11/nikola-tesla-the-eugenicist-eliminating-undesirables-by-2100/">Tesla&#8217;s prediction that eugenics</a> and the forced sterilization of criminals and other supposed undesirables would somehow purify the human race by the year 2100. Today we have more from that particular article which appeared in the February 9, 1935, issue of <em>Liberty</em> magazine. The article is unique because it wasn&#8217;t conducted as a simple interview like so many of Tesla&#8217;s other media appearances from this time, but rather is credited as &#8220;by Nikola Tesla, as told to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Sylvester_Viereck">George Sylvester Viereck</a>.&#8221;</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not clear where this particular article was written, but Tesla&#8217;s friendly relationship with Viereck leads me to believe it may not have been at his Manhattan hotel home. Interviews with Tesla at this time would usually occur at the Hotel, but Tesla would sometimes dine with Viereck and his family at Viereck&#8217;s home on <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riverside_Drive_(Manhattan)">Riverside Drive</a>, meaning that it&#8217;s possible they could have written it there.</p>
<p>Viereck attached himself to many important people of his time, conducting interviews with such notable figures as Albert Einstein, Teddy Roosevelt and even Adolf Hitler. As a German-American living in New York, Viereck was a rather notorious propagandist for the Nazi regime and was tried and imprisoned in 1942 for failing to register with the U.S. government as such. He was released from prison in 1947, a few years after Tesla&#8217;s death in 1943. It&#8217;s not clear if they had remained friends after the government started to become concerned about Viereck&#8217;s activities in the late 1930s and early 1940s.</p>
<p>Tesla had interesting theories on religion, science and the nature of humanity which we&#8217;ll look at in a future post, but for the time being I&#8217;ve pulled some of the more interesting (and often accurate) predictions Tesla had for the future of the world.</p>
<p><strong>Creation of the EPA</strong></p>
<p>The creation of the U.S. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Environmental_Protection_Agency">Environmental Protection Agency</a> (EPA) was still 35 years away, but Tesla predicted a similar agency&#8217;s creation within a hundred years.</p>
<blockquote><p>Hygiene, physical culture will be recognized branches of education and government. The Secretary of Hygiene or Physical Culture will be far more important in the cabinet of the President of the United States who holds office in the year 2035 than the Secretary of War. The pollution of our beaches such as exists today around New York City will seem as unthinkable to our children and grandchildren as life without plumbing seems to us. Our water supply will be far more carefully supervised, and only a lunatic will drink unsterilized water.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Education, War and the Newspapers of Tomorrow</strong></p>
<p>Tesla imagined a world where new scientific discoveries, rather than war, would become a priority for humanity.</p>
<blockquote><p>Today the most civilized countries of the world spend a maximum of their income on war and a minimum on education. The twenty-first century will reverse this order. It will be more glorious to fight against ignorance than to die on the field of battle. The discovery of a new scientific truth will be more important than the squabbles of diplomats. Even the newspapers of our own day are beginning to treat scientific discoveries and the creation of fresh philosophical concepts as news. The newspapers of the twenty-first century will give a mere &#8221; stick &#8221; in the back pages to accounts of crime or political controversies, but will headline on the front pages the proclamation of a new scientific hypothesis.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Health and Diet</strong></p>
<p>Toward the end of Tesla&#8217;s life he had developed strange theories about the optimal human diet. He dined on little more than milk and honey in his final days, believing that this was the purest form of food. Tesla lost an enormous amount of weight and was looking quite ghastly by the early 1940s. This meager diet and his gaunt appearance contributed to the common misconception that he was penniless at the end of his life.</p>
<blockquote><p>More<strong> </strong>people die or grow sick from polluted water than from coffee, tea, tobacco, and other stimulants. I myself eschew all stimulants. I also practically abstain from meat. I am convinced that within a century coffee, tea, and tobacco will be no longer in vogue. Alcohol, however, will still be used. It is not a stimulant but a veritable elixir of life. The abolition of stimulants will not come about forcibly. It will simply be no longer fashionable to poison the system with harmful ingredients. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernarr_Macfadden">Bernarr Macfadden</a> has shown how it is possible to provide palatable food based upon natural products such as milk, honey, and wheat. I believe that the food which is served today in his penny restaurants will be the basis of epicurean meals in the smartest banquet halls of the twenty-first century.</p>
<p>There will be enough wheat and wheat products to feed the entire world, including the teeming millions of China and India, now chronically on the verge of starvation. The earth is bountiful, and where her bounty fails, nitrogen drawn from the air will refertilize her womb. I developed a process for this purpose in 1900. It was perfected fourteen years later under the stress of war by German chemists.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Robots</strong></p>
<p>Tesla&#8217;s work in robotics began in the late 1890s when he patented his <a href="http://www.google.com/patents?id=T1VrAAAAEBAJ&amp;zoom=4&amp;pg=PA2#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false">remote-controlled boat</a>, an invention that absolutely <a href="http://www.pbs.org/tesla/ins/lab_remotec.html">stunned onlookers</a> at the 1898 Electrical Exhibition at Madison Square Garden.</p>
<blockquote><p>At present we suffer from the derangement of our civilization because we have not yet completely adjusted ourselves to the machine age. The solution of our problems does not lie in destroying but in mastering the machine.</p>
<p>Innumerable activities still performed by human hands today will be performed by automatons. At this very moment scientists working in the laboratories of American universities are attempting to create what has been described as a &#8221; thinking machine.&#8221; I anticipated this development.</p>
<p>I actually constructed &#8221; robots.&#8221; Today the robot is an accepted fact, but the principle has not been pushed far enough. In the twenty-first century the robot will take the place which slave labor occupied in ancient civilization. There is no reason at all why most of this should not come to pass in less than a century, freeing mankind to pursue its higher aspirations.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Cheap Energy and the Management of Natural Resources</strong></p>
<blockquote><p>Long before the next century dawns, systematic reforestation and the scientific management of natural resources will have made an end of all devastating droughts, forest fires, and floods. The universal utilization of water power and its long-distance transmission will supply every household with cheap power and will dispense with the necessity of burning fuel. The struggle for existence being lessened, there should be development along ideal rather than material lines.</p></blockquote>
<p>Tesla was a visionary whose many contributions to the world are being celebrated today more than ever. And while his idea of the perfect diet may have been a bit strange, he clearly understood many of the things that 21st century Americans would value (like clean air, clean food, and our &#8220;thinking machines&#8221;) as we stumble into the future.</p>
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		<title>One World Government and the War of Tomorrow</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2013/04/one-world-government-and-the-war-of-tomorrow/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2013/04/one-world-government-and-the-war-of-tomorrow/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Apr 2013 16:50:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1950s]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=7380</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In 1950, journalist Vincent Sheean argued that renouncing national sovereignty was the only way to prevent nuclear war]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-7382" title="1950 jan redbook war 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/02/1950-jan-redbook-war-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_7381" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-7381" title="1950 jan redbook war sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/02/1950-jan-redbook-war-sm.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="468" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Illustration by Fred Siebel in the January 1950 issue of Redbook magazine</p></div>
<p>A bright rainbow hangs in the sky, descending just over the horizon. The many people of Earth march slowly toward it, leaving behind the crumbling fist of war, oppression and international borders. Nothing less than the future is over that horizon; a future that is defined by a new world order where people are able to attain true happiness and leave behind the bleak conflicts of the early 20th century.</p>
<p>At least that&#8217;s how it was imagined by illustrator Fred Siebel and writer <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vincent_Sheean">Vincent Sheean</a> in the January, 1950 issue of <em>Redbook</em> magazine.</p>
<p>We may not have the one world government envisioned by Vincent Sheean, but we do have a version of the one-superpower world that he predicted would emerge. His vision left open many possible avenues by which this new world order might be achieved &#8212; many that left the United States, the Soviet Union or both in ruins. But however that cold conflict came to an end it would bring the dawning of a new age.</p>
<p>Sheean, writing in 1950:</p>
<blockquote><p>Whatever shape your world may take in the year 2000 A.D., we can all be fairly sure that it will be one world. Whether through war or through peace, the nations fifty years from now will have learned to enmesh their sovereignties into a single supreme authority. They will have learned to do so because, difficult as it may seem now, no other alternative exists. One world or none at all is the choice.</p>
<p>If we examine the hateful and (to my mind) improbable possibility of war—atomic war between the great powers—we see that one or the other side must be destroyed. The A-bomb, the guided missile, bacteria weapons, make limited wars for limited objectives impossible between great powers. These powers are too powerful, and they have weapons, which once used, would lead into a completely unknowable future. If, however, anything survived, it is certain that one power alone (either the United States or the Soviet Union) would impose its version of world order upon the ruins. That single-power world is profoundly undesirable, because civilization will have been sacrificed to attain it. Barring war then, or a great depression, we can see that the next fifty years offer a tremendous prospect— and challenge. It is a fact that by increasing our production by only a tenth above normal expectations, the U.S. can provide enough to bring every American up to minimum living standards.</p></blockquote>
<p>But Sheean held out hope that there was indeed reason to be optimistic about the year 2000. Tremendous scientific advancement and wondrous new tech like supersonic planes and a system of advanced highways (the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Aid_Highway_Act_of_1956">Federal Highway Act</a> of 1956 was still six years away) would allow humanity to achieve its full potential:</p>
<blockquote><p>Vast advances in technology and science should let us insure our people against sickness, unemployment and the hazards of old age; lace the nation with 200-m.p.h., triple-tier highways and fill the skies with more comfortable, faster, perhaps supersonic air transports; build churches, schools, art galleries, lecture halls, libraries for everyone. Certainly power by nuclear fission will accelerate the most productive economic machine in world history. Nations will no longer be driven by hunger to overwork their soil and pillage other natural resources.</p>
<p>Thus, it is conceivable that we will have the time and the energies to attain the greatest of all goals — happiness — with values in art, music, culture, craftsmanship, intellect, and above all, in human relations. Without resolution of this issue—human relations on a world scale—productivity will mean little, for it will be devoted to only one ultimate weapon after another.</p>
<p>It seems to me that no atomic war will occur. We shall, indeed, work our way slowly, with much difficulty, through successive phases of &#8220;cold war&#8221; and uneasy peace arrangements, toward a world authority strong enough to establish and keep international order. This has been a dream for many men through the centuries. It now becomes a political necessity, the means of survival.</p></blockquote>
<p>Sheean also argued that national sovereignty would become an antiquated notion.</p>
<blockquote><p>This trend toward world authority will be contested bitterly for many years, because national sovereignty is something all men cling to. But sooner or later a number of overwhelming questions will impose themselves on everybody who thinks at all. Questions like these: Is national sovereignty more important than society itself? <em>Is civilization not something bigger than either the nation or the society?</em> When these questions are asked, over and over and over again, the tendency toward World Agreement, already strong in some areas, will become, I believe, irresistible.</p>
<p>Inspection and regulation of atomic energy enterprises will be established. World agreement, at top levels, will be achieved in a &#8220;crisis&#8221; &#8212; such as Berlin, Greece, or in southeast Asia &#8212; and we will have a pattern upon which, with many a failure and many a discouraging rebuff, men of good will will slowly build up and strengthen a world authority. Societies will continue to be different; nations will keep their identities in every respect, <em>except the freedom to murder each other</em>.</p></blockquote>
<p>This one world government, Sheean writes, would not come without considerable debate. Americans in particular, he argues would be incredibly resistant to the idea of this transition.</p>
<blockquote><p>The social and economic aspects of this slowly evolving process are very hard for any American, especially a Congressman, to contemplate. Whether our road lies through peace or through war, it is going to cost billions of dollars. There will be helpful factors: split-second communications, world-wide walkie-talkies perhaps, transocean facsimile newspapers, an international language, which would be of enormous aid in surmounting international barriers. There will be a helpful atmosphere, one freer of worry over cancer, tuberculosis and polio. Most important, there will be a constantly growing realization of the imperative need for a common brotherhood of man.</p>
<p>I dare guess that it will be peace, dangerous and difficult peace, leading at long last to a world authority for the government of international relations by controlled disarmament.</p></blockquote>
<p>Controlled disarmament of the world is obviously far from a reality today. But thanks to the technological growth of the second half of the 20th century, it&#8217;s hard to argue that—despite the continued existence of very distinct national borders—we&#8217;re anything but a smaller world here in the 21st.</p>
<p>War, well that&#8217;s another thing entirely.</p>
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		<title>Postwar Dreams of Flying in Style</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2013/03/postwar-dreams-of-flying-in-style/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2013/03/postwar-dreams-of-flying-in-style/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Mar 2013 17:15:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Airplanes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1940s]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=8227</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Northrup Flying Wing promised a luxurious experience for the air traveler of tomorrow]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-8505" title="1948 northrop 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/03/1948-northrop-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_8229" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-8229" title="1948 northrop interior food" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/03/1948-northrop-interior-food.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="320" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Interior of the Northrop airplane of tomorrow (1948)</p></div>
<p>During World War II, many Americans had high hopes for what life would be like in the future. Sometimes this was fueled by advertisers who promised that <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2011/10/today-at-war-tomorrow-in-stores/">great things</a> were just around the corner. Sacrifice for your country now they said, and all of your wildest high-tech dreams would come true after the war. As we&#8217;ve seen before, this attitude was sometimes tempered by skeptics who warned that while there may indeed be great things ahead, Americans should <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/05/big-things-ahead-but-keep-your-shirt-on/">keep their shirts on</a>.</p>
<p>Once the war ended in 1945 inventors, corporations and advertisers kicked into high gear, scrambling to perhaps make good on some of the promises they&#8217;d made during the war. But that also didn&#8217;t stop the unrelenting torrent of predictions about the leisurely society of tomorrow.</p>
<p><object width="600" height="338" classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/IE0tKalLsTU?hl=en_US&amp;version=3" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed width="600" height="338" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/IE0tKalLsTU?hl=en_US&amp;version=3" allowFullScreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" /></object></p>
<p>One popular area of prognostication was about how people would be traveling in the near future. The average American would soon be <a href="http://www.psmag.com/blogs/time-machine/visions-of-futuristic-air-travel-in-1946-leg-room-53593/">taking to the skies</a>, in hyper-futuristic airplanes with all the luxuries of a swanky dinner club. One of these skyward-gazing predictions appeared in a 1948 short film called <a href="http://youtu.be/IE0tKalLsTU"><em>The Northrop Flying Wing</em></a>, produced for the <em>Popular Science</em> series of films. Designed by <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_Northrop">Jack Northrop</a>, Northrop&#8217;s sleek design screamed &#8220;airplane of the future.&#8221;</p>
<div id="attachment_8232" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-8232" title="1948 northrop" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/03/1948-northrop.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="317" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Rendering of a futuristic airplane from a Popular Science newsreel (1948)</p></div>
<p>The film explained that this airplane of the future would seat 80 people and provide gorgeous views of the countryside below through large plexiglass windows:</p>
<blockquote><p>Now a preview of the flying wing transport of tomorrow. The mid-section provides ample room for 80 passengers. Spaciousness keynotes the luxurious main lounge, extending 53 feet inside the wing. And future air travelers will really see something. Through the plexiglass windows of the front wing edge, passengers have an unimpaired view of the earth unrolling thousands of feet below. Coast-to-coast flights in four hours may not be far away.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_8233" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-8233" title="1948 northrop cutaway" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/03/1948-northrop-cutaway.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="319" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Illustration of the airplane of the future in cut-away (1948)</p></div>
<p>This high-tech flyer had its roots in the military, the film tells viewers, but much like other advancements of WWII, the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northrop_Corporation">Northrop</a>-built planes held tremendous promise for peacetime uses:</p>
<blockquote><p>Wing controls are like those of a conventional plane, except for <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elevon">elevons</a>, combining functions of elevator and aileron. Today a potent defense weapon, it may revolutionize commercial flying. The dorsal tip of the plane provides an excellent vantage point to see the world go by. Snug as bugs in their magic carpet, air travelers can look down on mere earthlings as the double-quartet of mighty turbo jets whistle them through space.</p>
<p>This flying wing bomber is the twelfth type to be designed by John K. Northrop since 1939 &#8212; the latest edition to a family of planes that may some day may rule the air.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_8234" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-8234" title="1948 northrop view from plane" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/03/1948-northrop-view-from-plane.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="319" /><p class="wp-caption-text">View from the interior of the futuristic Northrop plane (1948)</p></div>
<p>The world of air travel in the future will be one of luxury and efficiency, with plenty of booze for good measure:</p>
<blockquote><p>Surprisingly enough, the luxurious wing is simpler to build than other planes. Being a single unit with a structure extending from tip to tip. The sleek air leviathan carries more cargo farther, faster with less fuel than any comparable plane.</p>
<p>And the bar will raise the spirits who don&#8217;t feel high enough in the stratosphere. The flying wing has the stability of a fine club and refreshments can safely be wheeled in. This new device is an electromagnetic table holder.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_8235" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-8235" title="1948 northrop airplane interior bar" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2013/03/1948-northrop-airplane-interior-bar.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="320" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Airplane bar of the future from a Popular Science newsreel (1948)</p></div>
<p>By the end of the short film the narrator has adopted a strangely paternalistic tone about technology. We&#8217;re told that the American public &#8220;quickly accepts&#8221; the fantastic miracles bestowed upon them by science:</p>
<blockquote><p>The public quickly accepts all the miracles that science provides. Even skyliners like this will become commonplace. But the giant flying wing is more than a super-streamlined airplane. It is the fulfillment of scientific vision, and symbolizes the practical dreams of science for our world of tomorrow.</p></blockquote>
<p>Viewers of the late 1940s are told that thanks to science, the world of tomorrow will be the fulfillment of a glorious vision &#8212; whether they like it or not.</p>
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		<title>Aldous Huxley&#8217;s Predictions for 2000 A.D.</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/11/aldous-huxleys-predictions-for-2000-a-d/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/11/aldous-huxleys-predictions-for-2000-a-d/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Nov 2012 14:36:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Family Life]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Farms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fashion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gender Roles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Work]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1950s]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=5385</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The famous author envisioned a brave new world where swelling populations would put tremendous strain on the Earth's resources]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-5470" title="you in 2000 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/10/you-in-2000-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" />There seems to be two occasions when people most enjoy making predictions: anniversaries (think the <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/02/1970s-children-draw-robot-presidents-and-nuclear-apocalypse/">American Bicentennial</a>, New Year&#8217;s, etc) and dates that include round numbers (any year ending in zero). Such was the case in 1950 when many people halfway through the 20th century enjoyed predicting what life would be like in the year 2000 &#8212; obviously the roundest numbered year of our modern age.</p>
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<p>The January 1950 issue of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redbook"><em>Redbook</em></a> magazine asked, &#8220;What will the world of 2000 A.D. be like? Will the machine replace man? How will our children and grandchildren spend their leisure? How, indeed, will they look?&#8221; The mag asked four experts &#8212; curiously all men, given that <em>Redbook</em> was and is a magazine aimed at women &#8212; about what the world may look like fifty years hence.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aldous_Huxley">Aldous Huxley</a>, author of the 1931 dystopian novel <em><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brave_New_World">Brave New World</a>, </em>looked at working life in the year 2000. Specifically, how people might work in the home, in the laboratory, in the office, in the factory and on the farm.</p>
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<div id="attachment_5391" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-5391" title="1950 Jan Redbook george englert sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/10/1950-Jan-Redbook-george-englert-sm.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="198" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The farmer of the year 2000 directs his &#8220;robot machines&#8221; (illustrated by George Englert)</p></div>
<p>Aldous Huxley began his article by describing the major challenges that would confront the world at the dawn of the 21st century. He predicted that the global population would swell to 3 billion people &#8212; a figure less than half of the 6.1 billion that would prove to be a reality by 2000.</p>
<blockquote><p>During the next fifty years mankind will face three great problems: the problem of avoiding war; the problem of feeding and clothing a population of two and a quarter billions which, by 2000 A.D., will have grown to upward of three billions, and the problem of supplying these billions without ruining the planet&#8217;s irreplaceable resources.</p>
<p>Let us assume—and unhappily it is a large assumption—that the nations can agree to live in peace. In this event mankind will be free to devote all its energy and skill to the solution of its other major problems.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_5462" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 215px"><img class="size-medium wp-image-5462" title="1950 Jan Redbook cover sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/10/1950-Jan-Redbook-cover-sm-215x300.jpeg" alt="" width="215" height="300" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Cover of the Jan 1950 issue of Redbook</p></div>
<p>Huxley&#8217;s predictions for food production in the year 2000 are largely a call for the conservation of resources. He correctly points out that meat production can be far less efficient than using agricultural lands for crops. Moreover, he discusses the growing importance of synthetic materials (a reality we take for granted in so many ways today). His description of synthetics was incredibly prescient, if not very surprising, coming from a man whose most famous novel imagined a high-tech world built on mass production.</p>
<blockquote><p>By 2000, let us hope, the peoples of the world will have adopted a program to increase the planet&#8217;s output of food and other necessities, while conserving its resources. Because all available land will be needed for food production, concerted efforts will be made to derive all the fibers used for textiles from inorganic materials or vegetable wastes. Food crops will be cultivated on the land now devoted to cotton, flax, hemp and jute, and, since wool will no longer be used, the huge flocks of sheep which now menace Australian and North American watersheds will be greatly diminished. Because of the need to give overworked soil a rest and to extract the greatest possible number of calories from every acre under cultivation, meat production, which is fantastically wasteful of land, will be cut down, and increasing attention will be given to the products, vegetable no less than animal, of the ocean. Landlocked inlets, lakes, ponds and swamps will be scientifically farmed.</p>
<p>In many parts of the world forests are being recklessly destroyed. To conserve them we shall have to develop new types of synthetic building materials and new sources for paper. That the production of a comic supplement should entail the death of thousands of magnificent trees is a scandal which cannot much longer be tolerated.</p>
<p>How will individuals be affected by all this? For many farmers the changes will mean a shift from one kind of production to another. For many others they will entail a transfer to the chemical industry. For the chemical industry is bound to grow more important as world erosion compels us, for the sake of the land, to rely increasingly on synthetics derived from practically inexhaustible inorganic materials.</p></blockquote>
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<div id="attachment_5390" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-5390" title="1950 Jan Redbook housewife sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/10/1950-Jan-Redbook-housewife-sm.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="189" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The housewife of 2000 receives cooking instruction by TV (illustrated by George Englert)</p></div>
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<p>The world of 2000 A.D. was seen by many to be one of increased leisure. But Huxley sees that potential for better working conditions and increased standards of living as obtainable only through a sustained peace.  These same predictions of a leisure-oriented society, by Huxley and others living mid-century, would inspire the push-button cliche later parodied in the 1962 TV show &#8220;<a href="http://www.smithsonianmag.com/arts-culture/The-Jetsons-at-50.html">The Jetsons</a>.&#8221;</p>
<p>Perhaps Huxley&#8217;s most inaccurate prediction is his assumption that an increase in productivity will mean an increase in wages for the average worker. As we&#8217;ve seen over the last half a century, increased worker productivity has <a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2011/03/this-is-what-the-productivity-crisis-looks-like/72813/">not led to a dramatic increase in wages</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>That enormous technological advances will be recorded during the next fifty years is certain. But to the worker as a worker, such advances will not necessarily be of great significance. It makes very little difference to the textile worker whether the stuff he handles is the product of a worm, a plant, a mammal or a chemical laboratory. Work is work, and what matters to the worker is neither the product nor the technical process, but the pay, the hours, the attitude of the boss, the physical environment. To most office and factory workers in 2000 the application of nuclear fission to industry will mean very little. What they will care about is what their fathers and mothers care about today—improvement in the conditions of labor. Given peace, it should be possible, within the next fifty years, to improve working conditions very considerably. Better equipped, workers will produce more and therefore earn more. Meanwhile most of the hideous relics of the industrial Middle Ages will have been replaced by new factories, offices and homes. More and more factories and offices will be relocated in small country communities, where life is cheaper, pleasanter and more genuinely human than in those breeding-grounds of mass neurosis, the great metropolitan centers of today. Decentralization may help to check that march toward the asylum, which is a threat to our civilization hardly less grave than that of erosion and A-bomb.</p></blockquote>
<p>Huxley rightly predicts that the world would have to face the challenges that go along with having an aging population. Huxley himself would only live to see the year 1963, but he acknowledged what life would be like for young people reading his article.</p>
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<blockquote><p>If the finished product means little to the worker, it means much to the housewife. New synthetic building materials will be easier to keep clean. New solar heating systems will be cheaper and less messy. Electronics in the kitchen will greatly simplify the task of the cook. In a word, by 2000 the business of living should have become decidedly less arduous than it is at present. But, though less arduous, it will last on the average a good deal longer. In 2000 there will be more elderly people in the world than at any previous time. In many countries the citizens of sixty-five and over will outnumber the boys and girls of fifteen and under. Pensions and a pointless leisure offer no solution to the problems of an aging population. In 2000 the younger readers of this article, who will then be in their seventies, will probably be inhabiting a world in which the old are provided with opportunities for using their experience and remaining strength in ways satisfactory to themselves, and valuable to the community.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_5388" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-5388" title="1950 Jan Redbook technology science sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/10/1950-Jan-Redbook-technology-science-sm.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="201" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The worker of the 2000 will work just 20 hours per week according to Redbook (illustrated by George Englert)</p></div>
<p>All in all, I&#8217;d say that Huxley&#8217;s predictions were fairly accurate in spirit. Like so many prominent people of mid-century, he fails to predict or consider the dramatic social changes that would occur which had a direct impact on the 21st century workforce. But his idea that &#8220;work is work&#8221; and people simply want to find the best work they can with the best conditions and pay seems to be a timeless observation.</p>
<p>What do you say? I&#8217;m by no means an expert on Huxley and would welcome the opinion of others who may be able to read between the lines and offer insight into his vision of the year 2000.</p>
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		<title>Trains of Tomorrow, After the War</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/09/trains-of-tomorrow-after-the-war/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/09/trains-of-tomorrow-after-the-war/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Sep 2012 15:40:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Railroads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trains]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1940s]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=4341</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The wartime inconveniences of traveling by train prompted the promise for "the finest transportation the world has ever seen"]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4407" title="1944 march 18 colliers 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/09/1944-march-18-colliers-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_4342" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-4342" title="1944 march 18 colliers" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/09/1944-march-18-colliers.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="366" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Illustration from a magazine ad for the Association of American Railroads (1944)</p></div>
<p>American advertisers made a great number of <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2011/10/today-at-war-tomorrow-in-stores/">promises for the future</a> during World War II. The American people were told that if they could just be patient with wartime rationing, or the number of resources being devoted to the war effort, we would all be assured better lives <a href="http://www.paleofuture.com/blog/2007/5/21/after-the-war-1944.html">after the war</a>.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_of_American_Railroads">Association of American Railroads</a> was no different, and in the March 18, 1944 issue of <em>Collier&#8217;s</em> magazine they ran an ad which promised great things in train travel after World War II was through. It&#8217;s interesting for those of us perched from the vantage point of the future to remember that other methods of transportation, such as commercial air travel and even automobiles, weren&#8217;t the established forms that they would later become. The Federal Aid Highway Act of 1956 &#8212; which, at the time, was the largest public works project in American history and established our interstate highway system &#8212; was figuratively light years into the future compared to even the end of the war.</p>
<p>So what does the train of tomorrow look like? It has plush seating, fantastic views, good company and plenty of room to stretch your legs. You can even get some work done at a proper desk if you please. The ad feels like they&#8217;re promising you the poshest waiting room at the fanciest dentist in all of 1940s Denver. Or maybe that&#8217;s just what I see.</p>
<p>The text from the ad appears below and spells out the Association&#8217;s vision for railroads of the future, all the while apologizing for the stresses and inconveniences brought on by operating during wartime, with the movement of huge quantities of freight, civilians and troops across the United States.  It&#8217;s understandable that they felt obliged to begin with an apology and a message of appreciation:</p>
<blockquote><p>Some day this war will be won by America and her Allies.</p>
<p>Our first duty meanwhile is to meet the demands of the war. This we are doing.</p>
<p>The going hasn&#8217;t always been easy or comfortable. We believe you understand the reasons, and we appreciate your patience, your good-humored acceptance of inconvenience.</p>
<p>And we&#8217;d like you to know our ideas of comfort and style go far beyond what we&#8217;re able to offer today. That&#8217;s why we print the picture [above].</p>
<p>It will give you some idea of how we&#8217;d like to serve you &#8212; how we&#8217;re looking and planning ahead right now to make future railroad travel a thrillingly pleasant experience.</p>
<p>It can&#8217;t be done all at once. It will take money and time.</p>
<p>But you can be sure of one thing. Our goal is to give future America the finest transportation the world has ever seen.</p></blockquote>
<p>As we&#8217;ve seen, <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/05/big-things-ahead-but-keep-your-shirt-on/">there were skeptics in the popular press</a> who warned that the American people shouldn&#8217;t get their hopes up too high about all the promises being made during the war. But I must admit that I&#8217;d love to see a train like this built today &#8212; vintage dentist office chic or otherwise.</p>
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		<title>Worldwide Economic Collapse: Orson Scott Card&#8217;s Predictions for 2012</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/07/worldwide-economic-collapse-orson-scott-cards-predictions-for-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/07/worldwide-economic-collapse-orson-scott-cards-predictions-for-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jul 2012 18:57:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time Capsule]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1980s]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=3572</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The author of Ender's Game envisioned the imminent end of American power]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-3595" title="time capsule 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/07/time-capsule-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_3607" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-3607 " title="orson scott card  sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/07/orson-scott-card-sm1.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="395" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Orson Scott Card at Brigham Young University in 2008 (Courtesy of <a title="User:Nihonjoe" href="http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Nihonjoe">Nihonjoe</a> via Wikimedia Commons)</p></div>
<p>In 1985, author <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orson_Scott_Card">Orson Scott Card</a> made a name for himself with the publication of his now-classic science fiction novel <em><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ender's_Game">Ender&#8217;s Game</a>.</em> His book would go on to win the 1985 <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nebula_Award">Nebula Award</a> for best novel, the 1986 <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hugo_Award">Hugo Award</a> for best novel and would become required reading around the world (I remember reading it in a middle school English class).<em> </em></p>
<p><em></em>But Card is perhaps better known today for his socially conservative political activism. The celebrated author is a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Organization_for_Marriage">National Organization for Marriage</a> board member and has repeatedly spoken out against same-sex marriage, most recently supporting North Carolina&#8217;s controversial <a href="http://greensboro.rhinotimes.com/hc.e.211703.lasso">Amendment One</a>.</p>
<p>Two years after the publication of <em>Ender&#8217;s Game</em>, Card contributed to a time capsule which was compiled by the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Writers_of_the_Future">L. Ron Hubbard Writers of the Future</a> contest and filled with predictions for the future. Specifically, the organizers asked contributors, &#8220;What will life be like in the year 2012?&#8221; The 1987 time capsule was opened this past April in Los Angeles and included contributions not only from Card, but 23 other science fiction writers, including <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isaac_Asimov">Isaac Asimov</a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frederik_Pohl">Frederik Pohl</a>, and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_Williamson">Jack Williamson</a>.</p>
<p>However you interpret Card&#8217;s 1987 predictions ideologically, his vision of the future seems pessimistic to say the least—including worldwide economic collapse and human life without leisure. You can read his time capsule entry in its entirety below.</p>
<div id="attachment_3591" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 300px"><img class="size-medium wp-image-3591 " title="orson scott card sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/07/orson-scott-card-sm-300x180.jpeg" alt="" width="300" height="180" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Orson Scott Card&#8217;s 1987 predictions for 2012</p></div>
<blockquote><p>We must count ourselves lucky if anyone has leisure enough in 2012 to open this time capsule and care what is inside. In 2012 Americans will see the collapse of Imperial America, the Pax Americana, as having ended with our loss of national will and national selflessness in the 1970s. Worldwide economic collapse will have cost America its dominant world role; but it will not result in Russian hegemony; their economy is too dependent on the world economy to maintain an irresistible military force. A new world order will emerge from famine, disease, and social dislocations. The re-tribalization of Africa, the destruction of the illusion of Islamic unity, the struggle between aristocracy and proletariat in Latin America &#8212; without the financial support of the industrialized nations, the old order will be gone. The changes will be great as those emerging from the fall of Rome, with new power centers emerging wherever stability and security are established. The homogeneity of Israel will probably allow it to survive; Mexico and Japan may change rulers, but they will still be strong. If America is to recover, we must stop pretending to be what we were in 1950, and reorder our values away from pursuit of privilege.</p></blockquote>
<p>The location of the time capsule ceremony points to how much can radically change in 25 short years. The ceremony took place in April 1987 at the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windows_on_the_World">Windows on the World</a> restaurant on the 107th floor of the World Trade Center&#8217;s North Tower, which was destroyed by the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. The time capsule was kept in a bank vault until it was opened at a ceremony this past April in Los Angeles.</p>
<div id="attachment_3584" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-3584" title="TIME-CAPSULE sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/07/TIME-CAPSULE-sm.jpeg" alt="" width="550" height="343" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The 1987 L. Ron Hubbard Writers of the Future time capsule placed in a bank vault (Galaxy Press)</p></div>
<p>We can probably expect Orson Scott Card to be making headlines in the coming year, though less for his politics and more for his creative output, as Hollywood is currently working on bringing <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ender%27s_Game_(film)"><em>Ender&#8217;s Game</em></a> to the big screen. With director <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gavin_Hood">Gavin Hood</a> (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rendition_(film)"><em>Rendition</em></a>, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/X-Men_Origins:_Wolverine"><em>X-Men Origins: Wolverine</em></a>) at the helm and actors <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asa_Butterfield">Asa Butterfield</a>, Harrison Ford and Ben Kingsley starring, the film is set to be released in November 2013.</p>
<p>Reading through the various 1987 predictions for the year 2012 gives us a fascinating peek at the minds of authors who spent a lot of time thinking about the future, and we&#8217;ll no doubt look at other predictions from this capsule of yestermorrow in the coming weeks.</p>
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		<title>Big Things Ahead&#8230; But Keep Your Shirt On</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/05/big-things-ahead-but-keep-your-shirt-on/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/05/big-things-ahead-but-keep-your-shirt-on/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 May 2012 15:35:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health and Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Television]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transportation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1940s]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=2469</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Americans in the 1940s had wondrous expectations about the post-war world. Meet one author who advised them to curb their enthusiasm]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2723" title="1944 science and mechanics 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mechanics-470x251.jpeg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_2495" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 330px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2495 " title="1944 science and mech cover sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mech-cover-sm.jpg" alt="" width="330" height="473" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Cover of the October, 1944 issue of Science and Mechanics</p></div>
<p>The October 1944 issue of <em>Science and Mechanics</em> looked at what technological advancements Americans might expect after WWII with an article titled, &#8220;Big Things Ahead &#8212; But Keep Your Shirt On,&#8221; by John Silence.</p>
<p>What makes this article so fascinating is that it looks at the advances of the future with optimism, but tempers that rosey outlook with realistic predictions. There were a number of stories in the early 1940s offering American readers a vision of the future after the war, but this is one of the few that asks people to keep their expectations in check. The article opens with the common assumptions of the day about the futuristic post-war world Americans would be living in:</p>
<blockquote><p>Many of us have the idea that when Johnny comes marching home to his post-war world, he won&#8217;t know the old place. He&#8217;ll zing in on some contraption just short of the fourth dimension, and before he can zip himself out of his uniform and into his civvies, the walls of his pre-fabricated house will glow with electronic heat or his brow will be cooled by costless air conditioning.</p>
<p>The freezer in the basement will yield a perfect sirloin steak that the radio oven will broil to his favorite turn in something under 10 seconds, and while they&#8217;re bringing it in on an electric-plastic tray that keeps it hot, the dehydrated mush is being turned back into honest potatoes. And so on.</p></blockquote>
<p>The piece then warns that you shouldn&#8217;t get your hopes up too much. It&#8217;s really one of the most sober and subdued pieces of futurism I&#8217;ve read from the last 100 years, but it gives us a fascinating look at the thinking of the time:</p>
<blockquote><p>But don&#8217;t expect too much. And don&#8217;t expect it all at once. For many reasons, we aren&#8217;t going to turn things upside down as soon as the last shot is fired in this conflict. The people who risk their money to provide the things you buy are going to hold back to find out if you&#8217;ll take it before they plunge too deep. And all their research may be overruled on appeal.</p></blockquote>
<p>The article says that frozen food will be the food of the future, with refrigerated trucks making regular deliveries to homes that have large freezers in their basements:</p>
<blockquote><p>Foods—Quick freezing has pretty much passed its tests. People will buy frozen foods, and they&#8217;ll also store their own produce in rented lockers or home freezers. Which way will the cat jump? There are some folks who think the frozen food industry may eventually—get that &#8220;eventually&#8221;—work around to a system whereby you&#8217;ll keep a large frozen food locker in your basement, and make your purchases from a refrigerated delivery truck that comes around every week or so.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2491" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2491" title="1944 science and mech dirigible sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mech-dirigible-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="253" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Goodyear&#39;s dirigible aircraft carrier of the future (1944)</p></div>
<p>The article has a little fun with the idea that huge windows would be in fashion after the war, but may not be terribly practical:</p>
<blockquote><p>Housing—It isn&#8217;t cricket to throw cold water on your ideas about letting the sun heat your home through huge plate glass windows. But please bear in mind that Mama is going to have something to say, too, and if your big windows open up the innards of your house to prying eyes 20 feet across the lot line, you may come in some fine sunny day to find the drapes drawn and the furnace pumping away.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2480" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2480" title="1944 science and mech ship sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mech-ship-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="256" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Ocean liner of the future, designed by industrial designers Martial and Scull (1944)</p></div>
<p>The piece pointed out that advances in medicine would revolutionize our world, though they may not get as much attention as advances in consumer goods.</p>
<blockquote><p>Medicine—Among all the scientific advances being made during the war, medicine and surgical methods probably will draw the least public attention, but they probably will influence your post-war life more than any other. The mold drugs give one example. Penicillin, the wonder mold derivative, already has been released, in controlled amounts, to the public.</p></blockquote>
<p>And speaking of consumer goods, the writer acknowledges the sales pitches that were so common from peddlers of the era:</p>
<blockquote><p>Household appliances—When the post-war planner regales you with stories about automatic washers, ironers, dish washers, garbage disposal machines, tell him to smile when he says it. You had all those things before the war, and you&#8217;ll have them again, if you&#8217;ve got what it takes—and that&#8217;s money and time to wait for more to be made.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2489" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2489" title="1944 science and mech alden dow sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mech-alden-dow-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="633" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Alden B. Down with a plastic house he designed (1944)</p></div>
<p>In describing the community of tomorrow the writer makes reference to an <a href="http://www.paleofuture.com/blog/2007/10/27/what-we-are-coming-to-1895.html">illustration from 1895</a> that humorously imagined the future. The writer predicts that any changes in the community of the future really can&#8217;t be foreseen, but will likely be basic and simple.</p>
<blockquote><p>Community Planning—A half century ago an artist did the same kind of thinking about his future that many people today are doing about ours. He came up with an idea of what the skyscraper of the future—say about now—would look like. [...] He reserved a large section of the building for a hay and feed store! He reckoned without the automobile, which was to change the whole complexion of things within 10 years and make his drawing appear fantastic. We can still count on a wonderful new world opening up before our eyes, but the man who promises you a preview of it just can&#8217;t deliver. The furbelows and fripperies that ease the life of the next generation are going to be governed largely on basic, probably simple, changes in our way of living that perhaps no one today can see.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2484" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2484" title="1944 science and mech automobile sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mech-automobile-sm1.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="350" /><p class="wp-caption-text">A post-war automobile with a plastic body (1944)</p></div>
<p>The writer expects that tomorrow&#8217;s cars will be leaner and more efficient with engineers figuring out how to produce more with less. Curiously, he also holds out hope for a steam-powered car.</p>
<blockquote><p>Motoring—On the basis of our wartime scare on the scarcity of petroleum products, it would almost seem safe to predict that the automobile of the future will be lighter and more efficient, getting as much as 50 or 100 miles to a gallon of the best grades of gasoline. The engineers probably will add strength while casting off weight. But who is to say that we won&#8217;t be extracting a fuel like gasoline from other products that will permit us to continue running our two-ton heaps because, if for no other reason, we like &#8216;em? And besides, although steam was tried and discarded once as an automobile power source, such improvements have been made in boilers and heating plants, as well as in the engines themselves, it is entirely possible someone will market, some day, a steam automobile that will go when you press your foot on the accelerator first thing in the morning. There are startling things afoot in both power and fuel developments. But they will be announced slowly and carefully. Watch also transmissions, especially in the hydraulics and electrical fields.</p></blockquote>
<p>The writer predicts quite accurately that after the war the American public will see FM radio and television.</p>
<blockquote><p>Radio—What can we look for may be these things:</p>
<ol>
<li>At first, a set just like we&#8217;ve always had, because the manufacturer will have all he can do at first just to fill the demand.</li>
<li>Then, likely, FM, because it was about ready for the public when the conflict started, and the transmitters are already reaching a good portion of listeners.</li>
<li>Television—later. Because of the short carrying qualities of television waves, it will come out first in heavily populated centers where there are transmitters.</li>
</ol>
</blockquote>
<p>The machine tools of war are seen as the most obvious advances that would be quickly converted for peacetime purposes.</p>
<blockquote><p>Machine Tools—It&#8217;s most likely that the greatest advances are being made now, and not waiting until after victory is won. The stress and pressure for speedy production is bringing about advancement in the field of specialized machine tools that make our country the undisputed leader of the world&#8217;s industrial production. It may be this will prove our real victory in the war.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2486" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2486" title="1944 science and mech helicopter" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mech-helicopter.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="390" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Four-person helicopter of the future (1944)</p></div>
<p>Futurists of the 1940s had a particular interest in helicopters, predicting that there would be a <a href="http://www.paleofuture.com/blog/2008/1/19/personal-helicopter-1943.html">flying machine in every garage </a>after the war. But the writer of this article is quick to explain the hurdles to such a helicopter-centric society.</p>
<blockquote><p>Aircraft—A helicopter in your back yard? The picture is bright. You go out behind the apple tree, give the rotors a whirl, and whizz!—you&#8217;re on the office roof. At the end of the day, whizz!—and you&#8217;re back in Suburbia, tending your delphiniums. Beautiful picture, isn&#8217;t it? But you&#8217;ll probably have to keep your machine in perfect condition, to be passed on by some safety agency, and it won&#8217;t be the perfunctory windshield wiper and horn test, either. The neighbors may not care if you crack your own skull, but they won&#8217;t want you doing it on their sun porches. So for some years after the war is over, the first helicopters, and other airplanes for that matter, will be flown by people who can scrape together enough money to insure: (1) a machine in perfect condition; (2) maintenance that will keep it that way; (3) expert training in the operation of the machine. The designers say helicopters are harder to fly than airplanes.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2493" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2493" title="1944 science and mech dump truck sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1944-science-and-mech-dump-truck-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="401" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Dump truck of the future designed by Lurelle Guild (1944)</p></div>
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		<title>Tripping Through the Cold War: Drug Warfare in the Retrofuture</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/05/tripping-through-the-cold-war-drug-warfare-in-the-retrofuture/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/05/tripping-through-the-cold-war-drug-warfare-in-the-retrofuture/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 May 2012 17:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health and Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1960s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1980s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drugs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[public policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=2556</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Was LSD the Soviet Union's secret weapon?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2602" title="1981 poison war 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1981-poison-war-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_2593" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2593" title="1960 ctwt" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1960-feb-28-ctwt-sm-size.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="273" /><p class="wp-caption-text">People tripping out in the February 28, 1960 edition of Closer Than We Think</p></div>
<p>Chemical warfare is nothing new. As early as 428 BC the Spartans were burning wood soaked in resin and sulfur for use against their enemies. And the First World War is often remembered for its horrific deaths due to mustard gas. But the mid-20th century ushered in a new futuristic chemical weapon: LSD.</p>
<p>Lysergic acid diethylamide (LSD), mescaline (peyote), and psilocybin (psychedelic mushrooms) were all seen as possible contenders for non-lethal weapons of the future; sprayed on an unsuspecting army or civilian population and making them vulnerable to invasion.</p>
<p>An Associated Press story from the September 6, 1959 <em>Cedar Rapids Gazette</em> in Iowa warned that the nuclear stalemate with the Soviet Union might prompt the Russians to develop chemicals that could be used against the United States. Americans scientists were said to have developed their own weapons to counter-attack.</p>
<blockquote><p>Working in deep secrecy, U.S. scientists almost overnight have developed an arsenal of fantastic new weapons, variously known as psycho-chemicals and &#8220;madness&#8221; gases, which could virtually paralyze an enemy nation without firing a shot.</p></blockquote>
<p>Interestingly, the article doesn&#8217;t name the chemicals, instead calling them &#8220;madness gases&#8221; or surgical anesthetics:</p>
<blockquote><p>By way of definition, chemical warfare embraces the use of such compounds as the psycho-chemicals to create hallucinations in the enemy&#8217;s mind or the deadly nerve gases and other toxic substances to kill.</p>
<p>Some of the new chemicals act much faster than ether, the anesthetic used to put surgical patients to sleep, and have an effect lasting 24 to 48 hours. One means of dispersal is a newly developed &#8220;smoke ginny&#8221;  with which 2 men can lay a blanket of chemical fog over an area 5 miles long and 200 yards wide.</p></blockquote>
<p>The February 28, 1960 edition of the Sunday comic strip &#8220;Closer Than We Think&#8221; by <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2011/11/arthur-radebaughs-shiny-happy-future/">Arthur Radebaugh</a> pulled this idea from the headlines and illustrated it in the picture above. The strip quotes Lt. Gen Arthur Trudeau from the U.S. Army as warning that the Soviets are developing weaponized versions of &#8220;psycho-chemicals&#8221; and that the U.S. should follow suit:</p>
<blockquote><p>New nerve drugs may be used to immobilize whole cities or battle areas in tomorrow&#8217;s warfare.  The Chemical Corps knows about a complete arsenal of &#8220;nerve gases&#8221; that can make fighting men and embattled citizenry as happy and peaceable as kids playing tag.</p>
<p>Lt. Gen. Arthur Trudeau, chief of Army research and development, is worried about possible attacks with these drugs. He fears the United States might become a victim. &#8220;The Soviet [Union] has 15% of its munitions in chemicals,&#8221; he said. &#8220;I think psycho-chemicals are the coming weapon &#8212; we are missing out if we don&#8217;t capitalize on them.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2604" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2604" title="1981 poison war sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/05/1981-poison-war-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="376" /><p class="wp-caption-text">1981 vision of future chemical warfare, causing soldiers to hallucinate</p></div>
<p>The 1981 children&#8217;s book <em>World of Tomorrow: War and Weapons</em> by Neil Ardley also illustrated what a psycho-chemical attack might look like, with soldiers believing they&#8217;re being hunted by giant flying pterodactyl-like creatures:</p>
<blockquote><p>This isn&#8217;t a scene from a science fiction story in which flying monsters take over the world. It is a view of a future battle as seen through the eyes of a defending soldier. He and his fellow troops reel back as invading aircraft fire shells containing chemicals. The chemicals are drugs that produce dream-like reactions or hallucinations in people. The soldiers see the aircraft turning into flying monsters and the buildings bend over, and they flee in terror. Invading forces protected from the effects of the drugs will soon arrive easily take over the city.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Hiroshima, U.S.A.</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/03/hiroshima-u-s-a/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/03/hiroshima-u-s-a/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Mar 2012 20:06:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1950s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collier's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[death]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[destruction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disaster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[world war ii]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=2008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In 1950, a popular magazine depicted what an atomic bomb would do to New York City—in gruesome detail.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2076" title="1950 aug 5 colliers 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1950-aug-5-colliers-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_2061" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 297px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2061  " title="1950 aug 5 colliers sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1950-aug-5-colliers-sm.jpg" alt="" width="297" height="383" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Collier&#39;s magazine cover from 1950 depicting a mushroom cloud over Manhattan (Chesley Bonestell)</p></div>
<p>There&#8217;s no city that Americans fictionally destroy more often than New York.</p>
<p>New York has been blown up, beaten down and attacked in every medium imaginable throughout the 19th and 20th centuries. From movies to novels to newspapers, there&#8217;s just something so terribly apocalyptic in the American psyche that we must see our most populous city&#8217;s demise over and over again.</p>
<p>Before WWII, these visions of New York&#8217;s destruction took the form of tidal waves, fires or <a href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0024216/">giant ape attacks</a> &#8212; but after the United States dropped two atomic bombs on Japan in Hiroshima and Nagaski, the atom was suddenly the new leveler of cities.</p>
<p>The August 5, 1950 cover of <em>Collier&#8217;s</em> magazine ran an illustration of a mushroom cloud over Manhattan, with the headline reading: &#8220;Hiroshima, U.S.A.: Can Anything be Done About It?&#8221; Written by John Lear, with paintings by Chesley Bonestell and Birney Lettick, <em>Collier&#8217;s</em> obliterates New York through horrifying words and pictures. The first page of the article explains &#8220;the story of this story&#8221;:</p>
<blockquote><p>For five years now the world has lived with the dreadful knowledge that atomic warfare is possible. Since last September, when the President announced publicly that the Russians too had produced an atomic explosion, this nation has lived face to face with the terrifying realization that an attack with atomic weapons could be made <em>against </em>us.</p>
<p>But, until now, no responsible voice has evaluated the problem constructively, in words everybody can understand. This article performs that service. <em>Collier&#8217;s</em> gives it more than customary space in the conviction that, when the danger is delineated and the means to combat it effectively is made clear, democracy will have an infinitely stronger chance to survive.</p></blockquote>
<p>The illustrator who painted the cover was Chesley Bonestell and it is no doubt one of the most frightening images to ever grace the cover of<em> </em>a major American magazine. Opening up to the story inside, we see a city aflame.</p>
<div id="attachment_2066" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2066" title="1950 aug 6 colliers p12 sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1950-aug-6-colliers-p12-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="491" /><p class="wp-caption-text">1950 depiction of a smoldering New York after a nuclear attack (Chesley Bonestell, 1950)</p></div>
<p>A kind of wire service ticker tape runs across the top of the images inside the magazine:</p>
<blockquote><p>BULLETIN NOTE TO EDITORS &#8212; ADVISORY ONLY &#8212; NEWARK NJ &#8212; HUGE EXPLOSION REPORTED IN LOWER NEW YORK CITY. IMMEDIATE CONFIRMATION UNAVAILABLE. WIRE CONNECTIONS WITH MANHATTAN ARE DOWN. NEW YORK HAS ADVISED IT WILL FILE FROM HERE SHORTLY . . . BULLETIN &#8212; HOBOKEN NJ &#8212; DOCK WORKERS ON THE NEW JERSEY SIDE OF THE HUDSON RIVER THIS AFTERNOON REPORTED A THUNDEROUS EXPLOSION IN THE DIRECTION OF NEW YORK CITY. THEY SAID THEY SAW A TREMENDOUS BALL OF FIRE RISING INTO THE SKY</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2067" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2067" title="1950 aug 6 colliers p13 sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1950-aug-6-colliers-p13-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="481" /><p class="wp-caption-text">More of New York City on fire after a nuclear attack (Chesley Bonestell, 1950)</p></div>
<p>The first few pages of the article tell the story of a typical Tuesday in New York City, with people going about their business. Suddenly a radiant heat is felt and a great flash engulfs the city. People in Coney Island mistake it for a lightning bolt. A housewife in the Bronx goes to the kitchen window to investigate where the light came from, only to have the window smash in front of her, sending thousands of &#8220;slashing bits&#8221; toward her body. As Lear describes it, it doesn&#8217;t take long for &#8220;millions of people, scattered over thousands of miles&#8221; to discover what has taken place.</p>
<p>The aftermath is one of great panic with emergency vehicles unable to move and people rushing to find transportation. <em>Collier&#8217;s</em> would touch on this theme of urban panic a few years later in their <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2011/11/would-you-pass-the-panic-proof-test/">August 21, 1953</a> issue. One of the many fictional characters we follow in this story (an Associated Press reporter named John McKee) somehow manages to hail a cab in all this madness. McKee eventually gets to his office and begins reading the bulletins:</p>
<blockquote><p>(NR) New York &#8212; (AP) &#8212; An A-bomb fell on the lower East Side of Manhattan Island at 5:13 P.M. (edt) today &#8212; across the East River from the Brooklyn Navy Yard.</p></blockquote>
<p>The story goes on to describe how news coverage is largely crippled by the fact that 16 telephone exchanges were out, leaving 200,000 telephones useless. Ham radios, naturally, come to the rescue in their ability to spread emergency messages.</p>
<div id="attachment_2070" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2070" title="1950 aug 5 colliers brooklyn bridge sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1950-aug-5-colliers-brooklyn-bridge-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="347" /><p class="wp-caption-text">The Brooklyn Bridge after a nuclear attack on New York (Birney Lettick, 1950)</p></div>
<p>The cover ran almost 5 years to the day of the U.S. bombing of Hiroshima on August 6, 1945. The military was able to go in after the attack and measure the extent of the devastation. The graphs below, which ran with the <em>Collier&#8217;s</em> article, explain what kind of impact would be felt at various distances from ground zero.</p>
<div id="attachment_2072" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2072" title="1950 aug 5 colliers immediate effects sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1950-aug-5-colliers-immediate-effects-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="258" /><p class="wp-caption-text">A graph showing the immediate effects of a nuclear attack on New York City (1950)</p></div>
<p>The article explained that our understanding of what a nuclear attack on New York would look like came straight from U.S. measurements in Japan:</p>
<blockquote><p>The opening account of an A-bombing of Manhattan Island may seem highly imaginative. Actually, little of it is invention. Incidents are related in circumstances identical with or extremely close to those which really happened elsewhere in World War II. Property damage is described as it occurred in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, with allowance for differences between Oriental and Occidental standards of building. Death and injury were computed by correlating Census Bureau figures on population or particular sections of New York with Atomic Energy Commission and U.S. Strategic Bombing Survey data on the two A-bombs that fell on Japan. Every place and name used is real.</p></blockquote>
<div id="attachment_2075" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-2075" title="1950 aug 5 colliers continuing effects sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1950-aug-5-colliers-continuing-effects-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="335" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Continuing effects of the fictional nuclear explosion in New York (1950)</p></div>
<p>This <em>Collier&#8217;s</em> article wasn&#8217;t the first to warn of the devastating effect an atomic bomb could have on New York. A four-part series ran in newspapers across the country in April of 1948 which also described how awful a nuclear attack on New York could be. Written by S. Burton Heath, the first article in the series ran with the headline, &#8220;One A-Bomb Dropped In New York Would Take 800,000 Lives.&#8221;</p>
<blockquote><p>One atomic bomb, exploded over New York&#8217;s Times Square on a working day, could be expected to kill several hundred thousand men, women and children.</p>
<p>No reputable atomic expert, in Washington or elsewhere, will estimate the exact number. The New York fire department says 100,000. On the basis of Hiroshima and Nagasaki it would be more than 800,000. The most reliable experts say the fire department&#8217;s guess is absurdly low. They think the bigger figure is too high.</p></blockquote>
<p>After the surreal devastation that we witnessed during the terrorist attacks upon New York on September 11, 2001 ,we have some idea of what true horror looks like when inflicted upon a major American city. But a nuclear bomb is still something altogether different. The level of destruction that would result from nuclear warfare remains an abstraction for many &#8212; until you flip through old magazines of the Cold War.</p>
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		<title>Fighting Terrorism in the Future</title>
		<link>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/03/fighting-terrorism-in-the-future/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/2012/03/fighting-terrorism-in-the-future/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 17:20:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Novak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1980s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dystopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GPS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[helmets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[soldiers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[violence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/?p=1928</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A 1981 book predicted that the soldiers of the future could be more like heavily armed policemen than a fighting force.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1983" title="1981 soldier of the future 470x251" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1981-soldier-of-the-future-470x251.jpg" alt="" width="0" height="0" /></p>
<div id="attachment_1982" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-1982" title="1981 soldier of the future right sm550" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1981-soldier-of-the-future-right-sm550.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="301" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Soldiers and police officers respond to a terrorist attack at an airport of the future (1981)</p></div>
<p>The 1981 book <em>World of Tomorrow: Future War and Weapons</em> by Neil Ardley is (naturally) a little dark for juvenile literature. Space pirates slaughter families while they picnic on space colonies, armies poison each other to create vivid hallucinations, and people on Earth live in underground shelters after a horrifying nuclear war destroys life as we know it.</p>
<p>Most of the book hasn&#8217;t yet come to pass in its bleak depiction of a world engulfed by hyper-futuristic weaponry and mayhem. But one two-page spread sticks out as a prescient vision of our world today. Ardley&#8217;s description of the soldier of the future forecasts technologies that currently exist or are under development: GPS guided weapons, helmets with eye-tracking sensors and flame-resistant uniforms that can protect against 2nd or 3rd-degree burns:</p>
<blockquote><p>In several ways the soldier of the future will resemble the soldier of the distant past. He or she will be heavily protected &#8212; not encased in a suit of iron but clothed in ultrastrong materials that will resist rifle fire and radiation. The soldier may look out through a mask that cleans the air of radioactive dust, chemical poisons or disease germs used by the enemy. To attack, the soldier could use a future version of the crossbow &#8212; a small portable missile launcher. However, the solider will not have to aim the weapon. Using a computer, the position of the target can be fed into the missile&#8217;s guidance system and it will streak home. If the target moves, the missile will pursue it automatically, or the soldier may &#8220;see&#8221; or even &#8220;think&#8221; it home using a guidance computer linked to the soldier&#8217;s own eyes or brain!</p></blockquote>
<p>The book is obviously rooted in the concerns of the time. One concern was terrorism, especially as it related to aircraft hijackings. Hijackings were at their peak between 1968 and 1972, when there were 137 attempted commercial aircraft hijackings in the United States.</p>
<p>The illustration below shows soldiers of the future dealing with terrorists who have taken over an airport. Terrorists and hostages alike flee from the burning wreckage of a commercial plane.</p>
<div id="attachment_1935" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 550px"><img class="size-full wp-image-1935" title="1981 solider of the future left sm" src="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/files/2012/03/1981-solider-of-the-future-left-sm.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="279" /><p class="wp-caption-text">&quot;An army force of the future deals with terrorists who take over an airport&quot; (1981)</p></div>
<p>The book doesn&#8217;t rule out the possibility of nuclear weapons being used in the future, while mentioning that domestic terrorism may be just as large a threat in the years to come.</p>
<blockquote><p>A future nuclear conflict or one using neutron weapons or energy beams would destroy human forces. There would be little that soldiers could do to help win such a war. It seems likely that the future role of the soldier will not always be to fight foreign enemies but often terrorists within a nation. The soldiers of the future could be more like heavily armed policemen than a fighting force.</p></blockquote>
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