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Paleofuture

A history of the future that never was

Past Imperfect

History with all the interesting bits left in


January 15, 2013

Garrison Keillor’s 1996 Predictions for the Future of Media

“Nostalgia Man” by Amy Crehore 1996, oil painting (9 1/2″ x 10 1/2″) www.amycrehore.com

There are many different ways to talk about the future, but few are more self-centered than guessing how the generations of tomorrow may judge you and yours.

Garrison Keillor did just that with his article, “The Future of Nostalgia,” which appeared in the September 29, 1996, issue of The New York Times Magazine.

Some of Keillor’s observations ring true for those of us here in the year 2013: he predicts that the future of air travel will only become more and more cumbersome and he imagines that Americans’ growing dissatisfaction with stagnant wages may become an issue. But the vast majority of the piece reads as cranky “get off my lawn” nostalgia. Which is to say, he’s romanticizing a past that never existed in the service of bemoaning a future that will never arrive. He begins by calling contemporary culture “trash” (being careful to clarify that the New York Times doesn’t qualify as such) and pretty much goes downhill on the future of humanity from there.

But it’s his vision of the media landscape of the future that’s most interesting to me. Maybe because in many ways he didn’t go far enough (only 1,000 movies available on the Internet?) and bizarrely longs for some antiquated version of celebrity that he implies is somehow more pure. But his dominant fear — that the way we consume media would be rapidly changing into the 21st century — was one prophecy fully realized. It’s just up to those of us living in “the future” to decide whether any of those changes are a good thing.

Even just holding this 1996 issue of The New York Times Magazine in my hand makes me acutely aware of how much has changed in the world of publishing since then. The magazine is thick at 216 pages and bursting at the seams with slick colorful ads — a sign of healthy profits for any media outlet in the mid-90s. But as more and more eyeballs (and ad dollars) have shifted to the digital realm, it’s hard to judge a mag by its deadtree count.

Keillor writes about the death of the newspaper and frustrations with getting Internet images to load:

People are going to miss it a lot — they’ll think: What a wonderful thing a newspaper was! You opened it and there it was, you didn’t have to wait three minutes for the art to download, and when your wife said, “Give me a section,” you did.

Of course, few Americans in the year 2013 are waiting three minutes for an image to load online but I personally identify with those who would stubbornly cling to something like the deadtree Sunday Times; something most easily enjoyed (and more importantly shared) over a cup of coffee with some pulp and ink on your fingers. You have no idea how much it pains me to identify with Mr. Guy Noir himself in this case.

Later in the piece Keillor romanticizes the celebrity of the past — the “real” ones — like Frank Sinatra. He worries that in the future we won’t have any common language with which to talk around the water cooler or the dinner table. And Keillor shudders to think about the overwhelming amount of media (10,000 CDs on the Internet, oh my!) future generations will have at their disposal:

People will feel nostalgia for celebrities, real ones, like there used to be back when there were three TV networks and Americans watched the same shows at the same time and talked about them the next day at work. Television was common currency. Sunday afternoons you watched the NFL game with your dad on the couch and then you went to the table and ate pot roast and mashed potatoes. Everybody else did the same thing.

Every American knew Sinatra by sight and by voice, but when you scattered the audience among 200 cable-TV channels and 1,000 movies you could watch on the Internet and 10,000 CDs you could download, there weren’t many true celebrities anymore. People will miss them. There will be new celebrities, thousands of them, but not many people will know who they are.

Like I mentioned, I share some of Keillor’s strange nostalgic notions about deadtrees and sharing a newspaper over breakfast. But what’s most interesting to me is not so much his premature nostalgia for 1996 but his rather stereotypical nostalgia for the 1950s. For a man whose art has focused almost exclusively on the idyllic past that never was, I suppose this makes perfect sense.

 

NYTimes.com doesn’t seem to have the article digitized but you can read the piece in its entirety at Deseret News. Amy Crehore‘s 1996 oil painting “Nostalgia Man” appeared alongside Keillor’s original article and is republished here with permission.



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7 Comments »

  1. mrG says:

    He has a point with celebrity, though, about the nostalgia for what was once a much more unifying force than it can be today. There can never be a “next Beatles” because the 1964 fab four was known even to people who could care less, even to people who’s tastes would never go near Beatlemania, but it was inescapable simply because there were only so many channels. Today, I live in a small town of 20,000 and it is nearly impossible to get one unified message across here locally; to get a message out to “all youth” is unthinkable!

    This was famously predicted by Momus in 1991, his landmark essay, “Pop Stars? Nein danke” subtitled, “In the future everyone will be famous to 15 people” and THAT is a future present that I can really identify with.

  2. mrG says:

    oh, here, I’ll save you having to hunt that up, because it is a great essay on the topic of yesteryear’s visions of our today: http://imomus.com/index499.html

  3. Current pop culture is “trash”. Well, duuhhhh. Look back at the pop culture of pretty much any era in the last century and, sadly, you’ll find that at least 90% of it is trash — even the ’60s, the era of my boyhood and pre-adolescence, which I consider a golden era of pop culture. Hell, I didn’t have to wait 20 years to know that ’70s pop culture was trash. Needless to say, of course, Keillor’s own “Prairie Home Companion”, a radio show as dull as a beige room, isn’t trash.

    Keillor also seems to have an overly romanticized vision — and unhealthy importance attached to — celebrities. Once again, look back at any era of the last century, and you’ll find that maybe three quarters of the famous people were talentless losers who were famous just for being famous. Even during the precious ’60s of my childhood, musicians as talented as The Beatles or The Grateful Dead were easily outnumbered by derivative opportunist hacks looking to ride their coattails.

    If it seems that our era is overrun with useless “celebrities”, it’s only because there are so many more media outlets — between YouTube, American Idol and several hundred cable channels full of reality shows, the current media environment is generating more famous talentless losers than we can possibly handle.

    This one bit of Keillor’s rambling especially got a giggle out of me…

    “People will feel nostalgia for celebrities, real ones, like there used to be back when there were three TV networks and Americans watched the same shows at the same time and talked about them the next day at work. Television was common currency. Sunday afternoons you watched the NFL game with your dad on the couch and then you went to the table and ate pot roast and mashed potatoes…”

    …yeah, yeah, and the kids were all above average.

    Whatever, Garrison.

  4. Fiery says:

    I went to the Deseret News link to read the original article, and I was completely with you on your interpretation of Keillor’s attitude–until the last line:

    “I say, forget it. Just get over it. There’s the future out there. Go live it.”

    Seems like a good idea to read an article all the way to the end before judging the author’s attitude. The last line finally reveals that he’s poking a bit of fun at those attitudes himself.

  5. Abe says:

    @MrG

    I’m pretty glad of the “fall” of celebrities. We live in an age were everyone can create and find the content THEY want, not whatever society at large happens to be interested in. Not everyone may be nostalgic over the same thing, but isn’t diversity a good thing? Always something new to discover, times gone pass still present new things to different people. I don’t see how making everyone listen to the same bands, watch the same movies, and gossip over the same celebrities is a positive thing. Of course my perspective might be different as I’m only 20, a child of the digital age where as most people commenting seem to be more my parent’s age.

  6. vel says:

    I don’t know. Keillor has some other rather silly conservative fantasies so his “get over it” seems rather amusing and not in a flattering way to his own actions.

  7. Amos Humiston says:

    News flash for Matt Novak: Ad dollars have not traveled from the print realm to digital. Nobody makes money off digital. The problem is that eyeballs have traveled to digital for the sake of convenience and free content, but advertising has been slow to follow. One of the ironies as we pass from the Deadtree Era to the Plastic-Gadget Landfill Era.

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