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December 13, 2012 11:15 am

North Korea’s Failing Satellite Could Ruin Space for Everyone


On Wednesday, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (North Korea) succeeded, in its fifth attempt since 1998, in launching a satellite into orbit. The satellite was carried aloft by a three-stage rocket, and, according to the Associated Press, “South Korea’s Defence Ministry said Thursday the satellite is orbiting normally at a speed of 7.6 kilometres per second, though it’s not known what mission it is performing. North Korean space officials say the satellite would be used to study crops and weather patterns.”

The launch was met with harsh criticisms from the international community: ”The US and its allies view the launch as a disguised test of ballistic missile technology. North Korea says its aim was to launch a satellite,” reports the BBC. The United Nations Security Council called the launch “a clear violation of Security Council resolutions.”

Whatever the motivation behind North Korea’s actions, the result is that there is a new satellite orbiting above the Earth. The problem, though, says NBC News, is that, rather than traveling smoothly above the planet, the satellite is instead “tumbling out of control.”

The risk, as noted by Gizmodo, is that an out-of-control satellite could wreak havoc on the increasingly-populated space around Earth.

The most obvious bad news is that this is quite dangerous, as this object has now become a collision risk to other satellites.

The first collision between two satellites happened in 2009, when an American 1,235-pound Iridium communications satellite—launched in 1997—collided with a dead 1-ton Russian satellite launched in 1993. At the time, NASA blamed the Russians.

The greater worry is that a serious collision could trigger a sequence of events that would be catastrophic for all human exploration of space—a chain reaction known as Kessler syndrome. A few months ago, science writer and astronomer Stuart Clark described how this could happen:

[In 1978], NASA employee Donald Kessler, together with colleague Burton Cour-Palais, proposed that as the number of satellites rose, so would the risk of accidental collisions. The resulting debris would take out further satellites, sparking a chain reaction that would swiftly encircle the planet with a vast cloud of debris. Orbits would then become unusable because anything placed up there would be sandblasted into smithereens, exacerbating the problem. Eventually our access to space would be lost.

Kinda like this, but with satellites:

So, if North Korea’s satellite is indeed out of control, with no way to either stabilize it or nudge it into the atmosphere, it could become a liability to the activities of all space-faring nations.

More from Smithsonian.com:
One Tiny Piece of Space Debris Can Destroy a Satellite
 Navy Wants to Thwart Space Debris By Releasing More Space Debris



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3 Comments »

  1. This article is unnecessarily alarmist. While it may be “tumbling out of control”, it is in good company with 20,000+ other objects in the same state. It is still moving ballistically and is (apparently) easily trackable, so it poses no more risk than any other similarly sized object. If it was filled with fuel like the recent Briz-M that exploded I could see a reason for concern, but otherwise this is a non-issue. At worst, the headline should read “New North Korean satellite increases collision risk by 0.005%”

    Comment by Brad — December 13, 2012 @ 11:35 am


  2. Did you read the whole post Brad? It clearly laid out why this is a hazard and has some serious potential for trouble

    Comment by DUde — December 13, 2012 @ 5:31 pm


  3. I’m pretty disappointed you just took Gizmodo’s crap and ran with it. Next time do some fact checking.

    A tumbling satellite does not pose any additional risk than one that has passive attitude control. There are many satellites this size that do not have any sort of active control or maneuverability on them.

    A 500 km orbit will decay relatively soon (probably in 10 years or less). I have a cubesat that is currently in a 700 km SSO and no one has written alarmist articles about that one not having and active control.

    If this was in GEO, it would be a bigger deal.

    Comment by Lars — December 14, 2012 @ 7:16 am


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